The Rest Is Politics: US
The Rest Is Politics: US

Sep 24, 2026 · 46 min

Trump’s coalition shows cracks as Xi arrives with leverage

224. Trump Is Caving to Xi: Will Maga Turn on Him?

The episode links Republican midterm fears at home with a diplomatic encounter that exposes China’s stronger position in key trade negotiations.

3 key takeaways
  1. 1Weak approval ratings, economic concerns, and declining Hispanic support could turn Republican anxiety into a major Democratic midterm wave.
  2. 2Trump’s media distractions may have diminishing power as voters settle their views and focus more heavily on economic conditions.
  3. 3Xi’s visit offers ceremony and optics, while China retains leverage through rare-earth supply chains and long-term pressure over Taiwan.

Don't miss

The hosts contrast Trump’s lavish welcome for Xi with China’s stronger bargaining position in trade and its longer-term Taiwan strategy.

The brief

Katty Kay and Anthony Scaramucci open in a tense Washington, where visible Trump branding and the city’s atmosphere prompt questions about broader public unease.

Early midterm indicators suggest Republicans could face a severe defeat, with weak Hispanic support and economic concerns threatening the coalition Trump depends on.

The hosts argue that Trump’s distractions may no longer shift opinion: voters appear settled, and the president may be losing his ability to dominate media attention.

Xi Jinping receives an enthusiastic Washington welcome, but the ceremony masks a harder reality: China controls critical rare-earth supply chains and holds greater trade leverage.

The visit may produce favorable optics without major breakthroughs, while Beijing uses time on trade and artificial intelligence to pursue its longer-term Taiwan strategy.

Books & mentions

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Trump’s coalition shows cracks as Xi arrives with leverage | PodLume