
Aug 19, 2026 · 24 min
Russia’s economic warnings collide with Iran’s Gulf escalation
August 19th, 2026: Russia’s Top Economist Says Putin Is Losing & Iran Fires on the UAE
The episode connects signs of strain inside Russia with a widening regional security crisis and a U.S. effort to expand missile production.
- 1A senior Russian state economist’s departure follows warnings that the war in Ukraine could trigger a sudden social crisis.
- 2Iran launched ballistic missiles toward the United Arab Emirates, widening the episode’s focus beyond the Ukraine war.
- 3The Pentagon awarded a major contract to expand Tomahawk production as Germany convicted a suspect in an alleged Russian intelligence plot.
Don't miss
The briefing’s sharpest moment is the account of Andrey Klepoch leaving VEB after warning that Russia’s war could produce a sudden social crisis.
The brief
Mike Baker opens with reports that Russia dismissed senior state economist Andrey Klepoch after warnings that Moscow cannot sustain its war of attrition in Ukraine.
The central tension is whether economic strain can become a sudden social crisis, turning a warning from inside Russia’s state system into a political liability.
Iran’s ballistic missile launches toward the United Arab Emirates shift the briefing from Russia’s internal pressures to a broader regional security escalation.
The episode then widens to the Pentagon’s major Tomahawk production contract and a German conviction tied to an alleged Russian intelligence plot involving explosive parcels.
Taken together, the stories portray pressure building across military supply chains, domestic stability, and covert operations rather than on a single battlefield.
Featuring
Listen to the full episode and explore every guest, topic, and moment on PodLume.

Vladimir Putin
United Arab Emirates
Donald John Trump