Prof G Markets
Prof G Markets

Sep 11, 2026 · 1h 13m

Bond investors challenge governments’ spending promises

Why The Bond Market Is Starting To Revolt — ft. Katie Martin

Rising yields are testing whether governments and central banks can restore confidence while debt, inflation, and political risks intensify.

3 key takeaways
  1. 1Global bond markets are repricing heavy government borrowing and inconsistent political and central-bank messaging.
  2. 2Equity resilience masks a different risk assessment, as bond investors focus more sharply on fiscal credibility and inflation.
  3. 3Federal Reserve credibility, AI financing, tariffs, and elections could determine whether market stress deepens through 2026.

Don't miss

Katie Martin argues that Federal Reserve credibility and Kevin Walsh’s policy decisions will be the most important market variables for the rest of 2026.

The brief

Financial Times columnist Katie Martin joins Ed Elson and Scott Galloway as rising government bond yields expose growing investor concern about borrowing, inflation, and mixed official messaging.

The episode’s central tension is the gap between resilient equity markets and anxious bond markets, whose investors are weighing fiscal credibility and inflation risks differently.

Across the United States, Europe, the United Kingdom, and Japan, the discussion asks whether voters will accept the taxes or spending cuts needed to stabilize public finances.

AI investment adds a newer credit risk: hyperscalers are turning to bond markets after exhausting free cash flow, potentially spreading weakness beyond technology stocks.

Katie Martin identifies Federal Reserve credibility and Kevin Walsh’s policy decisions as the variables most likely to shape markets through the rest of 2026.

Listen to the full episode and explore every guest, topic, and moment on PodLume.

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Bond investors challenge governments’ spending promises | PodLume